R.Moldova și Bosnia și Herțegovina - posibili pioni de tip „proxy” în strategia Kremlinului de internaționalizare a conflictului ruso-ucrainean?
The Republic of Moldova and Bosnia and Herzegovina - possible "proxies" in the Kremlin's strategy to internationalize the Russian-Ukrainian conflict?

Summary/Abstract: After almost three months since the beginning of the so called Russian special military operation in Ukraine, Moscow has started to see its strategical project of conquering Ukraine declining. In February 2022, Kremlin elites assumed that war with Kiev will be more like “a walk in the park” because the Ukrainians would be more than happy to be freed from the “Nazi regime” and will welcome Russian soldiers with “flowers and hugs”. Three months later, the Ukrainians are fighting Russian invaders. Meanwhile, Moscow is facing a huge international pressure that targets financial and energy resources, Putin allies and friends and military leaders involved in atrocities against civilian population from operations areas. The statements made by the Russian top diplomats leave no doubt about the course Moscow is going to develop in the months to come. But there are questions about how Kremlin is going to act: - military – generating false flag operations in the south-eastern flank of EU and NATO in order to make the two blocks react? Not very likely. Russian army is barely keeping lines in eastern Ukraine, with soldiers and Wagner mercenaries revolting against unprofessional generals. - politically – applying disruptive strategies in European countries that are not members of the two alliances EU and NATO in order to destabilize the whole continent? Very likely if the military campaign in Ukraine turns bad for Putin. From the geopolitical point of view, Moldova and Bosnia and Herzegovina are the perfect choices for Kremlin.

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