Stability of decreasing and increasing trends of corporate earnings and empirical valuation discounts and premiums Cover Image

Trwałość trendów spadków i wzrostów zysków spółek a empiryczne dyskonta i premie w ich wycenie
Stability of decreasing and increasing trends of corporate earnings and empirical valuation discounts and premiums

Author(s): Jacek Welc
Subject(s): Economy
Published by: Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu
Keywords: companies valuation; forecasting profits; discounts and premiums in valuation; Granger causality

Summary/Abstract: Capital markets appreciate stability and growth. It means that companies showing stable and permanently growing earnings are on average valued higher than companies expe¬riencing stable decreases of earnings or having higher earnings variability. Therefore in the market values of companies showing long-term increasing/decreasing trends of earnings there is discernible premium/discount reflecting market belief in high probability of continuation of prior earnings growth/decline. The empirical analysis based on Granger causality found that at the end of March 2010 Polish companies showing stable decreasing trends of earnings in 2005-2009 period were quoted with discount averaging 20.2% and companies showing stable increasing trends of earnings were quoted with premium averaging 19.1%.

  • Issue Year: 2011
  • Issue No: 158
  • Page Range: 1089-1098
  • Page Count: 10
  • Language: Polish