Ocena ryzyka sercowo- naczyniowego przy pomocy funkcji SCORE w odniesieniu do ryzyka określonego na podstawie umieralności z powodu chorób układu krążenia w Polsce.
Comparison Between SCORE Performance and the Estimated Risk of Death Due to Cardiovascular Disease in Poland

Summary/Abstract: Polish Cardiac Society recommends to use SCORE tables to estimate the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in clinical practice. The aim of the study was (1) to compare the estimates of the risk of death from cardiovascular disease (CVD) obtained by using a SCORE function calibrated for the Polish population in 2007 with the risk calculated from the observed number of CVD deaths in the last decade, and (2) to compare the estimates of the risk of death from CVD obtained by using a SCORE function calibrated for the Polish population in 2015 with the CVD risk estimated from the observed number of deaths in 2012, using data on the prevalence of risk factors from the two studies of the representative samples of Polish adult population (WOBASZ and WOBASZ 2). The risk identified by the SCORE 2007 function was higher than the observed risk by 20– 40% in men and 18– 33% in women. This indicated that the SCORE 2007 function overestimated cardiovascular risk. The risk calculated by using the SCORE 2015 function was more similar to the CVD risk estimated by using the current mortality data. However, SCORE 2015 function may overestimate CVD risk in future if the decreasing mortality trend would persist in Poland.

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