Household savings, financing and economic growth in South Africa Cover Image

Household savings, financing and economic growth in South Africa
Household savings, financing and economic growth in South Africa

Author(s): Itumeleng Pleasure Mongale, Tumelo Mashamaite, Nyiko Khoza
Subject(s): Economy
Published by: Prague Development Center
Keywords: Household savings; credit extensions; leasing finance; VECM; South Africa

Summary/Abstract: The South African economy is characterised by low levels of household savings which play a very crucial role in stimulating sustained economic growth. At the same time consumers borrow in order to consume. The paper intends to investigate the impact of household savings and financing on economic growth in South Africa. The study is envisaged to assist monetary authorities and policymakers to mitigate this problem. An annual time series data covering the period from 1980 to 2014 is analysed by means of the Vector Error Correction Model approach. The Johansen Cointegration test results confirmed the existence of a long run relationship amongst variables under investigations. Moreover, the results suggest that financing, namely; credit extensions and leasing finance have positive relationships with the country’s economic growth while household savings indicate a negative relationship with growth. That being the case, the recommendation is that since it has been established by other studies that a rapid increase in credit is not commonly perceived to be one of the leading indicators of financial instability, policymakers are advised to consider imposing stringent credit control measures so that the demand for financing can be kept under control.

  • Issue Year: 14/2018
  • Issue No: 1
  • Page Range: 105-116
  • Page Count: 12
  • Language: English
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