MIX ENERGETYCZNY DLA POLSKI – DWIE ODMIENNE PERSPEKTYWY
ENERGY MIX FOR POLAND – TWO DIFFERENT PERSPECTIVES

Summary/Abstract: The purpose of this article is to indicate two different visions for the development of the domestic energy sector. The first one is a model based on existing hard and brown coal, supplemented by alternative technologies (wind, biomass, nuclear energy). The second is an alternative model, where the economic effects of emissions pollution are taken into account. As a forecasting tool, a mathematical optimization model was used. The optimization calculations were done for two mian scenarios: „base” and „effective”. In the first of these, the optimal „production mix” of the domestic energy sector for current and future environmental regulations is calculated. The second one determines the optimal structure of energy production for full internalisation of external costs. The results of the calculations indicate that the „effective” scenario is more expensive than the „base” in the sense of production (private) costs − 638 billion PLN compared to 623 billion PLN, but it generates much lower external costs (275 instead of 521 billion PLN).

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