THE SCENARIO – AN IMPORTANT INSTRUMENT IN THE STRATEGIC PLANNING PROCESS IN CONDITIONS OF UNCERTAINTY
THE SCENARIO – AN IMPORTANT INSTRUMENT IN THE STRATEGIC PLANNING PROCESS IN CONDITIONS OF UNCERTAINTY
Author(s): Ioan MischieSubject(s): Politics / Political Sciences, Politics, Security and defense, Military policy
Published by: Carol I National Defence University Publishing House
Keywords: scenario; strategic level; security; operational planning; military capabilities; forecast;
Summary/Abstract: Given the high costs involved in endowing an army and changing doctrines to employ forces in military actions, it is necessary to clearly define the threats and the requirements to equip forces with military technique for building and developing military capabilities. In this context, it is necessary to use certain tools to substantiate decisions. One of the most important tools that can be used at strategic level, in conditions of uncertainty, to substantiate these decisions is the scenario. This article presents the requirements to be followed for developing a strategic level scenario, the way of choosing the most appropriate scenarios, and a methodology to develop these types of scenarios.
Journal: Strategic Impact
- Issue Year: 2018
- Issue No: 66+67
- Page Range: 27-31
- Page Count: 5
- Language: English