Twierdzenie Bayesa po 250 latach
The Bayes' theorem after 250 years

Summary/Abstract: The Author recalls that 250 years ago in the British scientific circles appeared theorem of probability of causes, now called Bayes' theorem (formulated in 1763 by Thomas Bayes). It refers to the situation where there has been some events and once need to assess the probability of another incident which was the reason, i.e. what is cause and what is the effect of this event. Despite the passing years Bayes' approach in statistical surveys for the conditional probability of occurrence is constantly confirmed and important.

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