Ochrona infrastruktur elektroenergetycznych przed zagrożeniami i ryzykami systemowymi – nowy paradygmat w zarządzaniu bezpieczeństwem energetycznym
Protection of Power Infrastructure Against Threats and Systemic Risks - A New Paradigm in Energy Security Management

Summary/Abstract: The article contains the results of the initial exploration of a new problem field in the area of energy security, covering a wide spectrum of complex threats and systemic risks facing the power industry undergoing rapid transformations towards cyber-physical systems. The purpose of the exploration, identification, and initial theoretical processing (conception, structuring, etc.) of the complexes of cognitive, decision-making and projection-organizational problems, which for the safety and reliability of the electricity supply, resulting from the rapid increase in internal complexity as well as complex synergies and interdependencies arising from the convergence of two-speed technologies - energy systems and information and communication technologies. The tendencies of such complex, turbulent systems for chaotic behavior and their ability to self-organizing behavior "without human intervention" threaten with sudden, unpredictable, dangerous initiating events that can cause uncontrolled cascades of disorders capable of overcoming all protective barriers, firewalls, and layers of protection. The spectrum of catastrophic consequences of large-scale power failures puts into question the current safety management model based on threat elementarization, vulnerability analysis, risk assessment, and crisis management, and prompts the search for a new paradigm in security management that would prepare critical energy infrastructures for 'normal disasters' better. The author of the article considers the usefulness of the security model based on systemic threats and risks as well as resilience management as a new energy security paradigm.

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