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Discovering Escalation Prone Countries Through Structural Conditions and QCA

Author(s): Kateřina Fridrichová, Adriana Ilavská
Subject(s): Politics / Political Sciences, Social Sciences, Security and defense
Published by: Univerzita obrany
Keywords: Prediction; Conflict Escalation; Structural Conditions; Early Warning; csQCA;

Summary/Abstract: This paper introduces a method of conflict escalation prediction based on long-term structural conditions, drawn from open sources, and QCA (Qualitative Comparative analysis). The combination of the two components offers a model of prediction, which is comparable to other more sophisticated and resourced systems. Moreover, it offers a more sensitive estimation of an escalation.

  • Issue Year: 20/2020
  • Issue No: 2
  • Page Range: 5-22
  • Page Count: 18
  • Language: English
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