Momentka
Taking a snapshot
Discovering Escalation Prone Countries Through Structural Conditions and QCA
Author(s): Kateřina Fridrichová, Adriana IlavskáSubject(s): Politics / Political Sciences, Social Sciences, Security and defense
Published by: Univerzita obrany
Keywords: Prediction; Conflict Escalation; Structural Conditions; Early Warning; csQCA;
Summary/Abstract: This paper introduces a method of conflict escalation prediction based on long-term structural conditions, drawn from open sources, and QCA (Qualitative Comparative analysis). The combination of the two components offers a model of prediction, which is comparable to other more sophisticated and resourced systems. Moreover, it offers a more sensitive estimation of an escalation.
Journal: Obrana a strategie
- Issue Year: 20/2020
- Issue No: 2
- Page Range: 5-22
- Page Count: 18
- Language: English