SCENARIUSZE ROZWOJU DEMOGRAFICZNEGO AFRYKI
SCENARIOS OF DEMOGRAPHIC DEVELOPMENT OF AFRICA

Summary/Abstract: In the article, on the basis of the demographic transition theory, the variants of demographic development of the African continent in the years 2015 - 2100 were evaluated on the basis of various scenarios developed by UN experts. In addition, the assessment of the diversity of demographic development of individual African countries was carried out using the Ward agglomeration method according to the basic demographic characteristics. It was pointed out that the majority of African countries will be characterized by a relatively homogeneous level of demographic development, which in the coming years will be able to be defined as a continuation of the demographic explosion phase.

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