Intelligent Decision Support Systems for Managerial Decision Making
Intelligent Decision Support Systems for Managerial Decision Making
Contributor(s): Laura Gavrilă (Ștefănescu) (Editor)
Subject(s): Economy, Business Economy / Management, Micro-Economics, Accounting - Business Administration
Published by: ASERS Publishing
Keywords: Intelligent Decision Support Systems; Managerial Decision Making; Intelligent Agents
Summary/Abstract: Intelligent decision support using advanced decision technologies are becoming increasingly important in management. Data warehouses and data mining can be used to store and analyze product, inventory, and sales information. Simulation and optimization,which can be found in advanced planning and scheduling systems, can be employed for inventory, production, procurement, and distribution planning. Intelligent agents can e.g.communicate with different partners in the supply chain, assist in collecting information,share product information, negotiate prices, and distribute alerts throughout the logistics networks. Thus, the goal of this book was to encourage the exchange of new ideas about intelligent decision support systems and to promote their use in the organizations'decision making processes. The emphasis was also being placed on emerging needs related to distributed and remote decision which could be supported through the web.New thoughts and new ideas for enhancing decision making through the use of web technologies and the World Wide Web was especially welcomed.This book is an effort to present the path-breaking concept of intelligent decisions and discusses a few applications that demonstrate the need and importance of using advanced decision technologies for decision-making process. The book is divided into five broad chapters...The first chapter “Managerial Decision Making Using Cluster Analysis Methods” by F. Hunka discusses about cluster analysis methods used for classification when nearly nothing is known about the internal structure of the explored data in decision making process. The structure of this chapter is as follows: a part is devoted to short description of cluster analysis with the focus on utilized methods and approaches and then is summarized requirements on the programming system mainly concerning object oriented paradigm. Next part presents the essence of decision making model and also an architectural structure of the model is described. The experimental verification of the model is a content of last part. Results and discussion of the problem is summarized in the end.The second chapter “Intelligent Software Agents for Data Analysis in Knowledge based Systems” by L. Stefănescu and C.I. Popîrlan provides an overview of the state of research into knowledge-based systems and intelligent software agents and the problems associated with it. Subsequently, it outlines the reasons behind theories in using of multi agent model for large knowledge-based systems and shows us the benefices for data analysis in a large contact center. It also focuses on the presentation of multi-agent approach using JADE for data analysis in knowledge-based systems, in context of contact centers. Finally, it highlights how contact centers become more complex in their function and organization so that the data analysis becomes more important to ensure consistency and efficiency.The third chapter “Decision-Making in the Context of E-Commerce Systems” by P. Suchánek, D. Vymětal and R. Bucki explains the power of electronic commerce as tool for implementing business activities. In its first part it is describes the structure of ecommercesystem and its management system, the methods of e-commerce systems modeling based on process oriented, value-chain oriented and multi-agent system oriented approaches. The second part focuses on e-commerce systems simulations as a decision-making support and the main attention is devoted to definition of production function, equations of state and heuristic management of the production process, all indirect relation to the implementation of simulation system.The fourth chapter “Exploiting Fuzzy Cognitive Maps in Resiliency related Management Decisions” by D. Ward and P. Trucco throws light on the factors that force modern organizations and their management to encompass complex socio-technical economical systems, risk management, crisis management and expert judgment in multi actor and multi-criteria fuzzy decision making circumstances. The sum of these factors provides the ideal playing field for fuzzy logic theory and fuzzy cognitive mappinge specially in the contexts of management decisions and business continuity management. The authors set out to provide an introduction to fuzzy cognitive maps,explaining the features of them. It further discusses the relative appropriateness to the two case studies. The first case study looks at operational resilience (analysis and allocation) in multi-actor and multi-criteria, collaborative environments. The second case study examines at operational resilience and business continuity management in key resource supply chains, which are now a key feature of modern enterprises and their globalized markets.The last chapter “Fuzzy Logic supported by ICT in Managerial Decision-Making”by P.Wolf speaks about the changes in the paradigms of managerial thinking, complexity of problems needed to be solved, issues that deals with the growing system complexity of task, rate of uncertainty and risks of entrepreneurial activities. Further, applications of fuzzy sets in decision-making process are discuses with the scope to set a strategic goal that should be reached using a model situation of setting a strategy of long-term financing of an advertising campaign depending on the market saturation extent and limited amount of finances designed for the advertising campaign of the particular product.Finally, it concludes by highlighting the possibility to make general rules for dealing with particular situations that may occur, solved in most cases by particular case weighed methodology.In general this book intends to be of great value to various interest groups including academics, researchers, and practitioners engaged in management organization at various strategic levels and whole field of decision making process.
Series: Informatica ASERS Collection
- Print-ISBN-13: 978-606-92386-5-3
- Page Count: 201
- Publication Year: 2011
- Language: English
Managerial Decision Making Using Cluster Analysis Methods
Managerial Decision Making Using Cluster Analysis Methods
(Managerial Decision Making Using Cluster Analysis Methods)
- Author(s):František Huňka
- Language:English
- Subject(s):Economy, Business Economy / Management, Accounting - Business Administration
- Page Range:8-25
- No. of Pages:18
- Keywords:cluster analysis; object oriented perspective; decision making support
- Summary/Abstract:Decision making represents one of the principal management activities whose quality influence to a considerable extends effective functioning of economic units. Decision making support systems are usually conceived as interactive computer systems which help their users in decision making activities. The core of the computer system is composed of knowledge base and inference mechanism. Of course, a real decision making support systems are based on some theory that is utilized both in the inference mechanism and in the knowledge base. This paper use cluster analysis as a theory on which the knowledge base and inference mechanism is designed and implemented. Cluster analysis covers a row of methods for helping to solve classification problems of multidimensional data. In general, knowledge base in this case is created by classifying verified data into groups called clusters. The inference mechanism than compare a similarity of a new unknown object to clusters creating a knowledge base and inference potential properties of this new object. The result of this process is utilised in decision making. Described approach is illustrated on medical data concerning possibilities of cardiovascular disease which can be possibly used for life insurance.
- Price: 20.00 €
Intelligent Software Agents for Data Analysis in Knowledge-based Systems
Intelligent Software Agents for Data Analysis in Knowledge-based Systems
(Intelligent Software Agents for Data Analysis in Knowledge-based Systems)
- Author(s):Laura Gavrilă (Ștefănescu), Claudiu Ionuț Popîrlan
- Language:English
- Subject(s):Economy, Business Economy / Management, Accounting - Business Administration
- Page Range:25-49
- No. of Pages:25
- Keywords:Intelligent agents; software agent; knowledge-based system (KBS), JADE; data analysis
- Summary/Abstract:The aim of research into Knowledge-Based Systems and Intelligent Software Agents is to develop systems that replicate the analytical, problem solving and learning capabilities of the brain. These systems bring the benefits of knowledge and intelligence to the solution of complex problems. The envisaged system was built upon formal ontologies that had already achieved a large following of scientists and software agent developers.The use of intelligent software agents in knowledge-based systems is necessary because difficult tasks need to be decomposed into smaller sub-tasks and that each sub-task should be solved with the most appropriate reasoning technique without increasing the execution time.This research proposes a preliminary look at data analysis in a contact center with complex architectures, by introducing intelligent software agents.
- Price: 20.00 €
Decision-Making in the Context of E-Commerce Systems
Decision-Making in the Context of E-Commerce Systems
(Decision-Making in the Context of E-Commerce Systems)
- Author(s):Petr Suchánek, Dominik Vymetal, Robert Bucki
- Language:English
- Subject(s):Economy, Business Economy / Management, Accounting - Business Administration
- Page Range:49-89
- No. of Pages:41
- Keywords:e-commerce system; decision-making; e-commerce system modelling; e-commerce system simulations
- Summary/Abstract:Electronic commerce (e-commerce) is a very powerful tool for implementing business activities. Essential support for electronic commerce is the so-called e-commerce system. E-commerce systems are systems aimed at a broad target group and require specific approaches to decision-making. The optimal and most exact way how to obtain and find optimal solution of e-commerce system, its process structure, management and decision-making is modeling and simulation. Creation of simulation can be divided into three basic steps. The first step is the creation of appropriate models, the second step is to carry out a detailed mathematical description of these models and the last step is to propose system for simulation. In this paper, in the first part, the authors describe the structure of e-commerce system and its management system, the methods of e-commerce systems modeling based on process oriented, value-chain oriented and multi-agent system oriented approaches. The second part focuses on e-commerce systems simulations as a decision-making support and the main attention is devoted to definition of production function, equations of state and heuristic management of the production process, all in direct relation to the implementation of simulation system.
- Price: 20.00 €
Exploiting Fuzzy Cognitive Maps in Resiliency Related Management Decisions
Exploiting Fuzzy Cognitive Maps in Resiliency Related Management Decisions
(Exploiting Fuzzy Cognitive Maps in Resiliency Related Management Decisions)
- Author(s):David Ward, Paolo Trucco
- Language:English
- Subject(s):Economy, Business Economy / Management, Accounting - Business Administration
- Page Range:89-144
- No. of Pages:56
- Keywords:fuzzy cognitive maps; disruption; resilience; business continuity; management; decisions; dependency; interdependency
- Summary/Abstract:Operational resilience refers to the ability of an organization and its management to prevent disruptions from occurring as well as the aptitude to react quickly to and recover from a disruption of primary business and relative processes. Such scenarios pertain to human-centric collaborative commerce systems. The playing field thus encompasses complex socio-technical-economical systems, risk-crisis management and expert judgments in multi-actor and multi-criteria fuzzy decision making circumstances. Fuzzy cognitive mapping lends itself particularly well to these circumstances and has already been successfully investigated in a wide range of applications, from ecological system modelling to knowledge processing. Operational resilience and business continuity management are a further two ideal applications for FCMs (Fuzzy Cognitive Maps) and are proposed and discussed in detail in this chapter.
- Price: 20.00 €
Fuzzy Logic Supported by Information and Communication Technology in Managerial Decision-Making
Fuzzy Logic Supported by Information and Communication Technology in Managerial Decision-Making
(Fuzzy Logic Supported by Information and Communication Technology in Managerial Decision-Making)
- Author(s):Petr Wolf
- Language:English
- Subject(s):Economy, Business Economy / Management, Accounting - Business Administration
- Page Range:144-185
- No. of Pages:42
- Keywords:fuzzy set; fuzzy logic; linguistic expression; management; strategic decision-making, SQL
- Summary/Abstract:Decision-making process at the top and partly also middle management level is based on the manager‘s individual feeling in some situations. This way of accepting mostly strategic decisions results chiefly from the experience the management acquired while solving similar type of the problems. The rational side of the process of accepting the decision expressed in the form of a general, precisely computational procedure, is usually suppressed. The way of accepting the decisions that are difficult to justify is usually connected with so called non-structured problems.In the description of unstructured tasks there are often variables in the form of linguistic expressions. These expressions work with inexplicit, vague concepts, they are the product of human comprehension and people use them to express reality in a natural way. The fuzzy sets theory deals with the methodology of mathematic of linguistic expressions, i.e. transferring them into so called fuzzy sets, and the way how to carry out the mathematical operations.
- Price: 20.00 €