THE FUTURE OF EUROPEAN SECURITY. MEASURING RESILIENCE
THE FUTURE OF EUROPEAN SECURITY. MEASURING RESILIENCE

Author(s): Ştefan-Antonio DAN-ȘUTEU, Răzvan Grigoraş
Subject(s): Politics / Political Sciences, Politics, Security and defense, Military policy, EU-Accession / EU-DEvelopment, Peace and Conflict Studies
Published by: Carol I National Defence University Publishing House
Keywords: : resilience; state failure index (SFI); Weak Signals; International Futures; European security; integrated systems.
Summary/Abstract: This paper underlines some directions for measuring the resilience of European Union in the field of Security, achieved through analysis and extrapolation of several indicators released by the International Futures with Pardee Program1: (1) the state failure index (SFI),(2) the technology power (TP), (3) the threat sent to the rest of the world (TSRW) and (4) the threat received from the rest of the world (TRRW). The paper starts from the assumption that resilience represents a tool for shaping efficiency in European Security. The results of projected indexes in 2035 reveals the need for a commonly shaped resilience framework. The research shows that the increased technological development and innovation capacity will generate potential disruptive technologies with applications in the field of security and defence. Finally,the paper takes into account four Weak Signals for shaping a more mature and a more resilient Union in 2035

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