Prospects of Conflict in the Taiwan Strait
Prospects of Conflict in the Taiwan Strait

Author(s): Marcin Przychodniak
Subject(s): International relations/trade, Security and defense, Military policy, Russian Aggression against Ukraine
Published by: PISM Polski Instytut Spraw Międzynarodowych
Keywords: Taiwan; Ukraine; Russia; war; conflict; prospects;
Summary/Abstract: The Russian aggression against Ukraine has intensified Taiwan’s preparations for a possible military attack by China, for which the annexation of the island remains a strategic goal. In the short term, aggression by China is unlikely, but according to the Taiwanese authorities, an invasion scenario is realistic within a few years. At the same time, the public’s faith in U.S. support in the event of a conflict is diminishing. In this situation, the EU should strengthen cooperation with the island, as well as prepare plans to respond to a possible attack on it by China.

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