Zastosowanie modelowania ekonometrycznego w prognozowaniu brakujących danych w szeregach o wysokiej częstotliwości
Application of econometrical modeling for predicting missing data in high-frequency time series
Author(s): Jan Zawadzki, Maria Szmuksta-ZawadzkaSubject(s): Economy
Published by: Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu
Keywords: high-frequency data; forecasting; lack of data
Summary/Abstract: The paper presents the results of modeling and forecasting the lack of full in-formation, with the example of electric energy demand in a certain area for half-hourly data. The forecasts were built based on models depicting three types of periodic fluctuations with the annual, weekly and 24-hourly cycles, by the means of dummy variables. Moreover, they included such variables for determining holidays and a delayed predicted variable. In the course of empiric verification of the predictions, the analysis of precision of interpolation and extrapolation forecasts was performed.
Journal: Ekonometria
- Issue Year: 2011
- Issue No: 34
- Page Range: 303-313
- Page Count: 11
- Language: Polish