Wybrane zjawiska i procesy wpływające na rozwój polskiej gospodarki w pierwszej połowie XXI wieku. Projekcje na podstawie systemu modeli makroekonomicznych
Selected Phenomena and Processes Affecting the Development of the Polish Economy in the First Half of the 21st Century. Projections Based on the Macroeconomic Models System

Author(s): Waldemar Florczak, Michał Przybyliński, Iwona Świeczewska, Łucja Tomaszewicz, Joanna Trębska
Subject(s): Economy, National Economy, Public Finances
Published by: Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Łódzkiego
Keywords: financial markets;macroeconomic models;Polish economy;demographic processes
Summary/Abstract: The publication presents the results of research undertaken as part of the National Science Centre project, “Determinants of the Development of the Polish Economy in the 21st Century: An Empirical Analysis and Projections Based on the Macroeconomic Models System” („Determinanty rozwoju polskiej gospodarki w XXI wieku. Analiza empiryczna i projekcje na podstawie systemu modeli makroekonomicznych”). Basic phenomena and processes that have emerged in the 21st-century Polish economy have been described and supplemented with projections showing their possible influence on the future economic development of Poland. The authors have focused on the effects of the projected changes on the demographic structure, technological progress, the accumulation of knowledge capital in the economy, further globalization manifesting itself as variations in the intensity and structure of the Polish foreign trade, and structural changes of cross-sector connections in financial markets. The simulation scenarios in the book describe possible fluctuations on the labor market, shifts in the structure and value of aggregate demand, changes in the generation and flow of income in the economy, and variations in the demand for financial instruments and their supply on the financial markets.Since the Polish economy exhibits the typical features of developed European economies, the analysis of phenomena and processes it undergoes has a universal character.

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