RUSSIAN FEDERATION IN 2024 – DIME-FIL ANALYSIS
RUSSIAN FEDERATION IN 2024 – DIME-FIL ANALYSIS

Author(s): Raluca Elena RADU, Valentin-Lucian MAFTEI
Subject(s): Social Sciences
Published by: Carol I National Defence University Publishing House
Keywords: DIME-FIL; Russian Federation; Ukraine; Black Sea.
Summary/Abstract: The current reality, increasingly characterized by ambiguity, uncertainty, and complexity, necessitates new, deep, and comprehensive analyses, as military domain analysis alone is no longer sufficient. Therefore, there is a need to approach new tools that cover a broader spectrum, including diplomatic, informational, military, and economic domains. Within this endeavor, we aim to conduct an analysis of the current security environment, with a focus on the Russian Federation, from the perspective of DIME-FIL. Through this study, we seek to provide a conducive framework for forecasting the evolution of the Russian Federation in the year 2024, employing both longitudinal analysis and a cross-sectional analysis of Russia's involvement in the conflict in Ukraine. This is intended to diagnose issues and generate hypotheses regarding the future actions of the Federation. We believe that our initiative is timely because effective anticipation of the actions of the Russian Federation in the year 2024 will enable efficient planning of forces and resources, both at the regional level and within the framework of alliances.

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