Разсъждения върху спомени от бъдещето
Reflections on memories from the future

Author(s): Atanas Damyanov, Margarita Marinova
Subject(s): History, Economy, National Economy, Economic history, History of ideas
Published by: Международно висше бизнес училище
Keywords: retrospective analysis; forecast; futurology
Summary/Abstract: The present study consists of four parts. In the first part, a synthesized, fragmentary review of cases in which, a priori, the future is foreseen is made - from deep antiquity to our present day, i.e., a memory of the past. In the second part, "sprouts of the future" are captured in a multi-vector aspect. In the third part, based on certain assumptions and through a combination of prognostic methods, the movement of the GDP of a group of countries from 2015 to 2044 is extrapolated. And in the fourth part, our memory of the future is developed. Sketches of the big world picture in 2044 are captured, the changes that have occurred, the location of the major economic powers, the way of organization and connection of individual countries, the emergence of a new factor of production, etc.

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