The Impact of COVID-19 on the Terrorist Threat in the EU
The Impact of COVID-19 on the Terrorist Threat in the EU

Author(s): Arkadiusz Legieć
Subject(s): Politics, Security and defense, Studies in violence and power, Health and medicine and law, EU-Accession / EU-DEvelopment, Peace and Conflict Studies
Published by: PISM Polski Instytut Spraw Międzynarodowych
Keywords: EU; COVID-19; terrorist threat; impact; pandemic;
Summary/Abstract: According to Europol data, in 2019 the decline in the number of attacks and the activity of terrorist organisations continued in the EU, with the exception of extreme right-wing groups. The COVID-19 pandemic has limited the possibilities for terrorist organisations to operate. In the short term, the terrorist threat to the EU will continue to decline. However, terrorists will adapt to the new conditions. As a result of the pandemic, structural problems in Europe’s neighbourhood will worsen and an economic crisis is expected within the EU itself. Such conditions may favuor the activity of extremists (both Islamic and farright), increasing the threat of terrorism for the EU in the long term.

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