№121: EU Responses to the Potential of an Armed Conflict in the Taiwan Strait
№121: EU Responses to the Potential of an Armed Conflict in the Taiwan Strait

Author(s): Marcin Przychodniak
Contributor(s): Sławomir Dębski (Editor), Patrycja Sasnal (Editor), Wojciech Lorenz (Editor)
Subject(s): Politics, International relations/trade, Security and defense, Peace and Conflict Studies
Published by: PISM Polski Instytut Spraw Międzynarodowych
Keywords: USA; China; rivalry; Taiwan; conflict; EU: foreign policy;
Summary/Abstract: The U.S.-China rivalry, development of China’s military potential, and growing nationalist Chinese rhetoric, including declarations about the future “reintegration” with Taiwan, increase the risk of an armed conflict in the Indo-Pacific in the coming years. Given the strong economic ties between EU countries and China, it is in the Union’s interests to decrease the likelihood of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan while reducing its dependence on China. For this, diversification is needed in the economic dimension, including developing the EU’s production potential and strengthening cooperation to maintain Taiwan’s security, especially with the U.S. and Japan. Moreover, starting work on a catalogue of possible sanctions if there is an attack on the island may act as a deterrent to China.

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