FORECASTING BASED ON HIGH FREQUENCY TIME SERIES WITH UNSYSTEMATIC GAPS Cover Image

PROGNOZOWANIE NA PODSTAWIE SZEREGÓW CZASOWYCH O WYSOKIEJ CZĘSTOTLIWOŚCI OCZYSZCZONYCH Z SEZONOWOŚCI DLA LUK NIESYSTEMATYCZNYCH
FORECASTING BASED ON HIGH FREQUENCY TIME SERIES WITH UNSYSTEMATIC GAPS

Author(s): Maria Szmuksta-Zawadzka, Jan Zawadzki
Subject(s): Economy, Methodology and research technology, Policy, planning, forecast and speculation
Published by: Szkoła Główna Gospodarstwa Wiejskiego w Warszawie
Keywords: forecasting; high frequency time series; complex seasonality; exponential smoothing;

Summary/Abstract: In the paper will be presented the results of the application of selected models of exponential smoothing in forecasting of very high frequency variable, observed hourly, with unsystematic gaps, from which two or three types of seasonality fluctuation were eliminated. In the research was used a combination, in which gaps were present in each type of the fluctuation component.

  • Issue Year: XVII/2016
  • Issue No: 1
  • Page Range: 121-136
  • Page Count: 16
  • Language: Polish
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