№132: The Belarusian Vector of the Russian Threat to NATO
№132: The Belarusian Vector of the Russian Threat to NATO

Author(s): Anna Maria Dyner, Marcin Terlikowski
Contributor(s): Sławomir Dębski (Editor), Łukasz Kulesa (Editor), Wojciech Lorenz (Editor)
Subject(s): Politics, International relations/trade, Security and defense, Military policy, Peace and Conflict Studies
Published by: PISM Polski Instytut Spraw Międzynarodowych
Keywords: Belarus; Russia; NATO; threat; foreign policy; security;
Summary/Abstract: The stationing of Russian nuclear weapons in Belarus, now confirmed, and the recently announced redeployment of some Wagner Group fighters to this country is a powerful signal that what NATO is about to face to its East will be an even more multifaceted threat than before. By turning Belarus into a de facto vassal, Russia gains a whole set of new options of a hybrid, conventional and nuclear character for controlled escalation against NATO in the future. This poses a challenge for the Alliance’s approach to defence and deterrence, including in the nuclear dimension, as well as resilience-building efforts.

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