Series:Аналітична доповідь

Discreditation of the electronic Voting System in the Russian Federation and new Challenges for the Introduction of digital electoral technologies in Ukraine

Дискредитація системи електронного голосування в рф та нові виклики для впровадження цифрових виборчих технологій в Україні

Author(s): O. V. Tokar-Ostapenko,I. A. Pavlenko / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: voting in Russian elections; voting in Ukrainian elections; Russian aggression against Ukraine;

Elections are one of the main forms of democracy in the country - the expression of the will of the people, the constitutional way of forming public authorities and local governments. As the basic principle of democratic governance is to create appropriate conditions for the will of citizens and ensure adequate representation of their interests, in many countries the development of electoral technologies is underway to introduce new ways to increase accessibility, efficiency and comfort of the voting process. voting with remote access. // Introduction of new voting technologies into the election process is a consequence of technological development. The use of these technologies must comply with the principles of democratic elections, without raising public doubts about the reliability of the voting results. That is why the issue of implementing electronic voting in democracies has been accompanied by broad professional and public discussions for many years. On the one hand, remote electronic voting (hereinafter - DEG) is a conscious future, and on the other - a source of new challenges and potential risks. At the same time, as democracies continue to discuss and carefully accumulate experience in the application of DEG, authoritarian regimes (such as the Russian Federation) can use new technologies to address the preservation of their political system.

Determination of the Level of Energy Security of Ukraine

Визначення рівня енергетичної безпеки України

Author(s): O. M. Sukhodolya,Yurii M. Kharazishvili,D. G. Bobro,G. L. Ryabtsev,S. P. Zavgorodnya / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: Russian aggression against Ukraine; Ukrain's energy dependency;

The analytical report identifies the scope and subject of energy security in terms of a systems approach. The method of determination is given, a set of indicators for assessing the level of energy security, their target and threshold values ​​are formed. Calculations of the level of energy security as of 2020 have been made. Recommendations were given to the executive authorities on the application of the methodology for assessing the level of energy security and threat assessment in the system of energy and national security. // Designed for experts, scientists, specialists in the fields of energy, economics, national security, government entities, energy market actors, representatives of public organizations, as well as anyone interested in energy security. The study will be useful in the formation of energy policy, strategic planning in the field of energy security, sound choice of policy instruments aimed at realizing the national interests of Ukraine.

Remote electronic voting as a mechanism for exercising the voting rights of Ukrainian citizens abroad (in the context of the application of European e-voting standards)

Дистанційне електронне голосування як механізм реалізації виборчих прав громадян України, що перебувають за кордоном (у контексті застосування європейських стандартів електронного голосування)

Author(s): O. V. Tokar-Ostapenko / Language(s): Ukrainian

The analytical report emphasizes that Ukraine has a good potential for the implementation of e-government, including remote electronic voting. Some problematic moments of realization of voting rights by citizens who are permanently or temporarily outside Ukraine are outlined. Prospects, risks and warnings about piloting information and communication technologies of voting in the near future are considered. It was stressed that such a pilot project is possible with acceptable risks for voting of Ukrainian citizens abroad, as the percentage of votes cast in a foreign constituency does not significantly affect the results of national elections. Relevant recommendations are given.

Organization of the National Sustainability System at the Regional and Local Levels

Організація системи забезпечення національної стійкості на регіональному і місцевому рівнях

Author(s): O. O. Reznikova,K. E. Voitovsky,A. V. Lepikhov / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: territorial structure of Ukraine; administrative districts in Ukraine;

Methodological, organizational, legal, political and other aspects of ensuring the stability of regions and territorial communities have been studied. The best world practices in this field are analyzed on the examples of the formation and functioning of the security districts of the Netherlands and local sustainability forums of Great Britain. Problems and prospects of ensuring the stability of regions and territorial communities in Ukraine are identified. Recommendations for the formation of a comprehensive model of interagency cooperation and coordination of activities in the field of national security and sustainability at the regional and local levels in Ukraine are proposed. Designed for experts, scientists, specialists in the field of national security, subjects of power, representatives of public organizations and individuals, all who are interested in the problems of building national stability. The publication can also be useful in the development and adoption of regulations governing legal relations in this area.

Transformation of Special Services of Independent States of the Post-Soviet Space

Трансформація спеціальних служб незалежних держав пострадянського простору

Author(s): V. O. Palivoda / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: KGB; Secret Service; Intelligence Services;

t different stages of the historical development of any state, the role of its special services and their place in the system of state bodies is changing. In this context, the USSR has a special place, because after the collapse of the Soviet Union on its territory appeared 15 new subjects of international law, each of which began its own state-building processes with the formation of national intelligence services (to some extent on the basis of Soviet heritage).

Humanitarian Policy in Ukraine: Challenges and Prospects (white paper)

Гуманітарна політика в Україні: виклики та перспективи (Біла книга)

Author(s): O. O. Sinaiko,Yulia Tyshchenko,Yu. B. Kaplan,O. Yu. Mikhailova,O.L. Valevsky,M. T. Stepiko,O. M. Litvinenko,A. Yu. Ishchenko,M. M. Karpenko,V. S. Lozovy,S. O. Zubchenko,V. O. Bakalchuk,Svitlana V. Dubova,Serhiy I. Zdioruk,V. V. Tokman,T. V. Chernenko / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: humanitarian sphere of Ukraine;

The analytical report is prepared in the format of the White Paper, it contains an overview of the main pressing issues in the humanitarian sphere of Ukraine: cultural, educational, scientific, linguistic, as well as religious and church relations, rights of national minorities and indigenous peoples, creative industries. Particular attention is paid to the tasks of state policy in the field of cultural (public) diplomacy and socio-humanitarian reintegration of the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine. Emphasis is placed on the development of the humanitarian sphere in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic: the restriction of mass events, which put the cultural and creative industries on the brink of survival, and the need to develop quality distance and online education in secondary and higher education. The issues of the state of museum affairs and museum funds in Ukraine, the existence of a gap in the level of access to quality cultural services between the population of large cities and the periphery are considered. // The situation with the "language" issue is analyzed, in particular the advantages and challenges of the adoption and implementation of the Law of Ukraine "On ensuring the functioning of the Ukrainian language as the state language." Attention is paid to the tasks of the state policy of reintegration in the socio-humanitarian sphere, which include analysis of the humanitarian sphere in the temporarily occupied territories, outline the socio-humanitarian needs of residents of the temporarily occupied territories and internally displaced persons in need of solutions. increasing the level of cohesion, unity of Ukrainian society. For specialists in the field of humanitarian policy, scientists, experts, a wide range readers.

Transformation of foreign economic Relations between Ukraine and the Russian Federation: 2010–2020

Transformation of foreign economic Relations between Ukraine and the Russian Federation: 2010–2020

Author(s): I. Veremiy,M. O. Palamarchuk,Ravshan Yuldashev,N. Gavrylenko,G. Shyrokyi,D. Serebryanskyi / Language(s): English

Keywords: Ukraine and Russian Federation; Russian aggression against Ukraine;

Relations between the Russian Federation (RF) and Ukraine are determined primarily by the interstate armed conflict in Donetsk and Luhansk regions. Attempts by Russia to illegally annex the territory of Crimea and the city of Sevastopol in 2014 and their occupation, the armed confrontation in the Donbass determine the long-term nature of the interstate confrontation. // This conflict is asymmetric. For Ukraine, the consequences of the confrontation with Russia are vital, and the course of the conflict affects almost all important social processes. Instead, the Russian leadership views Ukraine primarily as a field of competition with the West in order to "declare the position of the Russian Federation as one of the influential centers of the modern world." // The post-Soviet space is a priority of Russia's foreign policy, simultaneously more importance is attached to cooperation with the states participating in Russia's integration projects. // The Strategy of Economic Security of the Russian Federation for the period up to 2030, adopted in 2017, identifies the creation of conditions for the implementation of strategic national priorities of the Russian Federation 3 as a priority for the development of the Russian economy. Thus, the subordination of the economy to the implementation of primarily strategic goals set by the political leadership is stated.

Ukraine and Countries of Eastern, Southeastern and Southern Asia: Results of 2020 and Prospects of Development

Україна і країни Східної, Південно-Східної та Південної Азії: підсумки 2020 року та перспективи розвитку

Author(s): A. Z. Goncharuk,O. V. Drobotyuk,B. O. Kiktenko,V. A. Musiychuk,Yu. S. Phil / Language(s): Ukrainian

The phrase "The 21st century will be the century of Asia" has become one of the most widely used among international experts. The review "Ukraine and the countries of East, Southeast and South Asia: results of 2020 and prospects of development" offered to the reader vividly illustrates its justice. The authors managed to give in a small text not only an in-depth analysis of political, economic, trade, investment ties of Ukraine with a huge region of the globe, but also to outline the main directions of development of this dynamic area. // The review, as expected, pays considerable attention to Ukraine's relations with the People's Republic of China. China became the main trading partner of Ukraine in 2020, is one of the largest investors, and in the future may take first place in this area. The real breakthrough made by the Ukrainian agrarian complex on the Chinese market is rightly noted. There are other areas in which domestic exporters expect success. Problems are also noted. We are talking about the poor domestic investment climate, frequent changes in legislation, lack of the rule of law, and in some cases - bureaucratic red tape in the consideration and implementation of joint projects. The Ukrainian side should consider how our neighbors, the countries of the European Union, are building their trade and economic relations with China.

The Real Sector of the Ecomnomy of Ukraine in Conditions of System Challenges

Реальний сектор економіки України в умовах системних викликів

Author(s): O. V. Sobkevych,A. V. Shevchenko,V. M. Rusan,Velislava Rusanova,E. V. Belashov,A. Zhurakovskaya / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: Russian agression against Ukraine; Ukrainian Economy:

Prolonged hybrid aggression by Russia is forcing Ukraine to rethink old and identify new economic policy priorities in the real sector, which should result in a leveling of the destructive effects of the aggressor's actions. Ukraine's fight against pressure from Russia in the face of declining profitability and predictability of Russian markets should be aimed at eliminating ingrained dependence on them and include the full arsenal of available and effective measures of macroeconomic and foreign trade policy, economic diplomacy and international trade law. // it is important to explore the potential and current conditions of the real sector of the economy, identify problems that hinder its development, as well as update public policy approaches to stimulate modernization transformations based on efficiency of production processes in the way of technical and technological modernization and innovation, with emphasis to develop high value-added sectors, ensure equal access to markets and resources for different participants in economic relations, develop new approaches to the consumption of limited resources in order to ensure inclusive economic growth.

Cross-border cooperation as a tool of local and regional development

Транскордонне співробітництво як інструмент місцевого та регіонального розвитку

Author(s): V. V. Khiminets,A. A. Golovka,O. I. Mirus / Language(s): Ukrainian

Decentralization and subsidiarity as basic principles of reform of local self-government and territorial organization of government create at the local level, in particular, conditions for intensifying cross-border cooperation (hereinafter - CBC) as one of the tools for developing communities and regions of Ukraine. In the last decade, a network of horizontal economic, cultural, educational and scientific relations between the border regions of Ukraine and the EU has been actively formed, which ensures cooperation between government and local government, business, universities, research institutions and civil society organizations. Among the favorable factors for the development of such cooperation are geographical proximity (proximity to the EU borders - Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania), targeted long-term EU policy on macro-regions (EU macro-regional strategy for the Danube region, and prospects for the Carpathian macroregion); organizational capabilities (experience of project management and implementation of initiatives in the field of TCS, the potential of regional development agencies (hereinafter - RDA); historical and socio-cultural ties, especially Western Ukrainian territories with European countries; scientific and expert potential; foreign policy vector of Ukraine) Euro-Atlantic civilization space) // At the same time, the border regions of Ukraine face a number of goals that are relevant in the context of the development of TCS. Coherence and complementarity of CBC development goals at the national, regional and local levels also play an important role, which leads to the harmonization of the goals of cross-border cooperation programs, regional development strategies in Ukraine and an inclusive approach to organization of interaction within the TCS. This is the INTRODUCTIONstrengthens the overall positive effect of combining all development programs.

Ensuring Ukrainian economic interests in relations with Subsaharian African countries

Забезпечення економічних інтересів України у відносинах з країнами Субсахарської Африки

Author(s): A. V. Bobrovytsky,V. P. Kolosova,I. V. Us / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: Ukraine and African Countries;

Sub-Saharan Africa is a giant subcontinent for rhetoric of sub-Saharan Africa. In modern definitions There is some disagreement as to the exact number of countries that are part of this region. According to the methodology used by the World Bank, the subcontinent consists of 48 countries1 differing in level of development, self-organization, historical features of the colonial past, geographical location, natural resources, the spread of world religions and place in the world economic order. The subcontinent has common features: population composition, geographical location and similar history of development. According to the UN geoeconomic classification, Africa is isolated four subregions. However, there are real differences between North Africa and the rest of the African continent. Therefore, the purpose of this report is a deeper definition of economic interests of Ukraine and the formation of political influence in the way of development of economic cooperation and the formation of permanent actions with subcontinent countries. To the Ukrainian interests in the Sub-African Africa should include: markets for agricultural products and satisfaction (direct supplies, participation in UN procurement and others international organizations); markets for engineering products and services; Ukraine’s interest in supplying useful wormwood from sub-Saharan Africa; humanitarian cooperation and provision of educational and medical services; formation of favorable international and bilateral climate; group formation "Friends of Ukraine" among the countries of Sub-Saharan Africa; training models for ensuring the geoeconomic interests of Ukraine in the Sub-Africa and a long-term strategy to promote interests on the subcontinent.

The state and the private sector for the protection of national security: from interaction to partnership

Держава та приватний сектор на захисті національної безпеки: від взаємодії до партнерства

Author(s): O. D. Markeeva,Volodymyr L. Rozvadovsky / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: national security; public-private partnership;

The research is devoted to the problems of forming an effective public-private partnership in the field of national security. Theoretical approaches to public-private partnership and their features in the security sphere are analyzed. The best world experience (USA, EU, Germany, Great Britain, Poland, Belgium and other countries) on building trust between the public and private sectors in the field of national security is studied. The normative-legal and organizational principles of public-private partnership in Ukraine are considered, effective examples of such interaction are given. Perspective directions of development of security public-private partnership in Ukraine and possible ways of their implementation are outlined. It is determined that the non-state (private) security sector should become an integral part of the national security system of Ukraine. // Designed for professionals engaged in theoretical and practical activities in the fields of national security and defense, public administration, private and corporate security, scientists, teachers, graduate students, doctoral students and students, as well as public (private) employees interested in current public issues -private partnership.

Problems and Prospects of Strengthening the Sustainability of the Financial System of Ukraine

Проблеми та перспективи зміцнення стійкості фінансової системи України

Author(s): L. G. Shemaeva,Ya. Zhalilo,N. Ya, Yurkiv,D. M. Gladkikh,Valentina V. Gladkikh,Yu. V. Kasperovich,L.P Londar,A. L. Deshko / Language(s): Ukrainian

The modern globalized world is characterized by increasing turbulence in financial markets, which poses special challenges to ensure the stability of national economies. The megatrend of financialization, which is characterized by increasing the share of financial transactions and the dominance of the financial sector of the economy over the real one, reflects radical changes in the structure of the modern world economy. Fluctuations in financial markets significantly affect the rate of global growth, and global financial flows determine structural changes in national economies. // Currently, Ukraine is facing exacerbation of external risks associated with the sharp increase in global economic volatility, which was observed in the first half of 2020 in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic, which, according to many experts, makes high-scale growth of full-scale global economic crises. Responding to the challenges of the pandemic has led to a number of radical measures at the national level, which have a shocking impact on the national economy. Hybrid aggression against Ukraine continues, shaping its own challenges to the financial system.

Current State and Prospects of Development and Transformation of the North Atlantic Alliance

Сучасний стан і перспективи розвитку й трансформації Північноатлантичного альянсу

Author(s): V. Kravchenko,Vasilij Orlik,Mykola Zamikula,Vladimir Yarmolenko,O. Davimuka / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: 1991 NATO Rome Summit; Partnership for Peace; 1997 NATO Madrif Summit;

The process of transforming the Alliance's role and status in the new context of regional and global security was launched by NATO's Rome Summit in 1991. The abolition of the Warsaw Pact and the collapse of the Soviet Union marked the end of the Cold War in global scale. The 1991 Strategic Concept of the Alliance focuses on changing the geopolitical balance and expanding the Euro-Atlantic security space (given the transformations that have taken place in Central Europe). A decision was reached to strengthen NATO's political role and the functioning of the Alliance based on the principles of collective defense, dialogue and cooperation (in particular, to promote reforms in the former socialist camp and launch new formats of interaction with other players in Central and Eastern Europe). // Among such formats, the Partnership for Peace initiative, which was decided at the NATO summit in Brussels in 1994, played a special role. During the NATO Summit in Madrid in 1997, the Charter on a Distinctive Partnership between Ukraine and the Alliance was signed, which regulates the format of cooperation between the parties at the political level. The summit announced NATO's first eastward enlargement to include Poland, the Czech Republic and Hungary, as well as the launch of a policy of Alliance enlargement to include the former Warsaw Pact and the former Soviet Union.

Thirty Years of Ukraine's Independence: socio-economic Results and strategic Visions of the Future

Тридцять років незалежності України: соціально-економічні підсумки та стратегічні візії майбутнього

Author(s): Ya. A. Shalilo,Ya. B. Vasilyuk,O. O. Kolomiets / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: independent Ukraine; Ulraine building-up democracy;

Ukraine gained Independence thirty years ago. This fateful event in the development of the Ukrainian nation became at the same time a powerful challenge for the people of Ukraine in terms of their ability to purposefully and consistently build the basis for the realization of their sovereign rights. Further development has shown that the idea of ​​the inviolability of the value of Ukraine's sovereignty as a young European state has taken root in the minds of the vast majority of citizens. Profound changes have taken place in all spheres of life: from public consciousness to the national economy. The ability of Ukrainian society to resolutely resist the hybrid influence of the Russian Federation (RF), the desire to overcome the "gravity" of the eastern neighbor, the desire to build their own direction of European integration showed that Ukraine has achieved much greater success in gaining real sovereignty than most other post-Soviet countries. // Political and mental sovereignty must be logically continued in building a viable integrated and competitive national economy, which allows to fully realize the potential of independence for making and implementing sovereign decisions on the future development of the country and nation. The paradigm of perception of the country's independence must change: it is no longer a question of "independence from" but of "independence for" - independence for the implementation of a sovereign strategy of social development based on the realization of national interests, consolidated common vision of the future. // In the field of practical realization of the potential of sovereignty, Ukraine still has a long way to go. During the three decades of difficult, not always consistent, often contradictory progress that has taken place since Ukraine's independence, the economy has accumulated complex contradictions that are currently hindering the construction of an integrated vision of the future, proper consolidation of efforts to achieve it.

Transformation of special services of post-socialist European countries

Трансформація спеціальних служб постсоціалістичних країн Європи

Author(s): V. O. Palivoda / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: post-communist Secret Services;

After the Second World War in the countries of Central and Eastern Europe, which came under the influence of the USSR, the creation of special services was on the Soviet model (with some national features) and with the help of advisers from Moscow. In different years, the security agencies of these countries had NKVD-MGB-KGB offices of the USSR, which later also performed the function of coordinating the activities of special services in the Warsaw Pact countries (hereinafter - ATS). // The processes that took place in the Soviet Union in the late 1980s directly affected the states of the so-called socialist commonwealth. By 1991, anti-communist opposition had come to power in virtually all of these states, and the new governments set out to form a multiparty system and a democratic society, accompanied by the transformation of the special services.

The State of Development of Civil Society in Ukraine: the Path and Keys for another 30 Years

Стан розвитку громадянського суспільства в Україні: шлях протягом 30-ти років та ключові

Author(s): Yu. A. Tyshchenko,O. M. Litvinenko,O. Yu. Mikhailova,Yu. B. Kaplan,D. M. Gorelov,Alexander Kornievsky,G. O. Paliy,N.I. Pelivanova / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: democratic development of Ukraine;

During the thirty years of independence, the civil society of Ukraine has overcome a considerable path of formation and development. From the youth movements, trade unions and political associations of the 1990s, it has transformed into an influential actor in key socio-political processes. // Active centers of civil society, organized and spontaneous, influenced the foreign and domestic political trajectory of Ukraine's development, warning against returning to the circle of post-Soviet countries with authoritarian regimes. There was widespread public resistance in 2004-2005, during the Orange Revolution. The end of 2013 and the beginning of 2014 were also marked by a high level of public activity. With the beginning of the Russian military aggression against Ukraine and its occupation of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea and Sevastopol and parts of Donetsk and Luhansk regions, the birth of a powerful volunteer, philanthropic and voluntary movement significantly expanded the influence of civil society on security. New movements and initiatives of citizens have radically changed the established landscape of civil society in Ukraine, and volunteer and veteran movements have become a powerful segment in the overall structure of civil society and actively interact with public authorities. The inviolability of Ukraine's foreign policy European and Euro-Atlantic prospects, the fundamental requirements of domestic political development (democracy, rule of law, free elections, etc.) is ensured, in particular, by the stability of the active segment of civil society.

Analysis of the results of the election campaign to local authorities on October 25, 2020

Аналіз результатів виборчої кампанії до місцевих органів влади 25 жовтня 2020 р.

Author(s): I. A. Pavlenko / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: 2020 regional elections in Ukraine;

Analysis of the results of the 2020 election campaign to local authorities allows us to identify several important trends in domestic political processes taking place in Ukraine. Including, concerning some features of development of party system and processes of regionalization. The obtained data, in turn, will help to more accurately identify the main risks to the system of public and political governance and should be taken into account when formulating a strategy for further regional development of the country, in particular - prospects for decentralization reform. // For greater clarity and understanding of domestic political processes in dynamics, we will compare the results of the 2020 election campaign with the results of the 2015 local elections.

State system of critical infrastructure protection in the system of national security

Державна система захисту критичної інфраструктури в системі забезпечення національної безпеки

Author(s): O.M. Sukhodoli / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: critical infrastructure in Ukraine; national security in Ukraine;

The analytical report addresses the organizational and legal issues of protection (security) and sustainability of critical infrastructure in terms of management approaches. Based on the results of the review of foreign experience, the connection between issues of protection (security) of critical infrastructure and national security is demonstrated, as well as the influence of the maturity of public security and defense governance mechanisms on the choice of one or another model of protection of vital infrastructure systems. objects. In this context, the state of implementation of the concept of critical infrastructure protection in Ukraine and possible options for the development of public policy in this area are analyzed, recommendations for its improvement are offered. //Designed for representatives of government agencies, scientists, independent experts, representatives of public organizations and individuals, all who are interested in the problems of national security of Ukraine.

The Middle East and North Africa as Ukraine's sphere of interests

Близький Схід і Північна Африка як сфера інтересів України

Author(s): O. V. Litvinenko / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: Ukjraine and Middle East; Ukraine and Maghreb-States; Ukraine and North Africa; failed democracy;

This report is dedicated to the region traditionally referred to as the Middle East and North Africa (MENA, hereinafter referred to as the Ukrainian equivalent of this abbreviation - BSPA). Its borders almost reproduce the perimeter of the former Ottoman Empire with the exception of its European possessions. The region currently includes a number of Arab countries and one autonomy: Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Jordan, Kuwait, the KSA, Qatar, Bahrain, the UAE, Oman, Yemen, Egypt, Libya, Tunisia, Algeria, Morocco, and the Palestinian Authority1. In this report, we will follow a conservative - that is, narrow - definition of the region's borders. A special place on the map of the region is occupied by three non-Arab countries (more precisely, countries with a predominantly non-Arab population) - Israel, Turkey and Iran. As of the beginning of 2020, the population of the region is 449 million people, and the total GDP is 3.61 trillion dollars. The region covers a number of countries with different levels of economic, political and social development: from the G20 member states of the world's largest economies to middle-income countries, poor countries and at least four failed & fragile states.