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CAS Newsletter 2006 / No 2
Articles, pictures and interviews can be reprinted only with the consent of Centre for Advanced Study Sofia (CAS - Sofia). Any citations should be duly acknowledged.
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Articles, pictures and interviews can be reprinted only with the consent of Centre for Advanced Study Sofia (CAS - Sofia). Any citations should be duly acknowledged.
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Articles, pictures and interviews can be reprinted only with the consent of Centre for Advanced Study Sofia (CAS - Sofia). Any citations should be duly acknowledged.
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Articles, pictures and interviews can be reprinted only with the consent of Centre for Advanced Study Sofia (CAS - Sofia). Any citations should be duly acknowledged.
More...
Articles, pictures and interviews can be reprinted only with the consent of Centre for Advanced Study Sofia (CAS - Sofia). Any citations should be duly acknowledged.
More...
This working paper is an output of the European Commission’s FP7 "Marie Curie Industry-Academia Partnerships and Pathways" (IAPP) project entitled "GREY - Out of the shadows: developing capacities and capabilities for tackling undeclared work in Bulgaria, Croatia and FYR Macedonia". Ms Rositsa Dzhekova, Center for the Study of Democracy and Prof. Colin C Williams, GREY-IAPP, Sheffield University Management School, University of Sheffield elaborated the report in April 2014. It provides a systematic review of available evidence on the extent and nature of the undeclared economy in Bulgaria, as well as on the institutional actors involved in tackling the phenomenon and their policy approach and measures used. The aim of the GREY project is to provide concrete policy recommendations, based on rigorous empirical evidence, for those seeking to tackle the undeclared economy in Bulgaria, Croatia and FYR Macedonia. The key objectives of our project are: to conduct evaluations of existing policy measures directed at enabling the formalization of undeclared work; to identify good practices and assess the extent to which they might be transferable to other countries or contexts; to develop innovative policy measures and test their effectiveness at tackling undeclared employment in the EU-27; and to train a generation of experts who will be able to act as advisors and implementers of ambitious projects aimed at curbing undeclared work.
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Bulgarian transition is influenced by radical events in the winter of 1997. The new economic policy is based on the introduction of the Currency Board and the framing of the reforms by the agreements with the International Monetary Fund in 1998 and 2001. In the period 1997-2000 massive foreign investments entered the country and were supported by the macroeconomic stability maintained through the Currency Board, the beginning of the radical structural reforms and an active privatization policy. The EU accession perspective and the start of negotiations added a significant external incentive to the vital internal necessities for capital to cover the "resource gap" of the reform policies. FDI could be beneficial for a host economy due to the following possibilities: • Creates linkages between foreign affiliates and local firms. • Domestic competitors may increase their productivity through the working of ‘demonstration effects’ (imitation of introduced innovations). • Training of local employees (managerial, marketing and technological knowledge could be later transferred to local firms). The article aims at identifying and measuring the determinants of the European union enterprises’ relocation in Bulgaria and their impact on the relations between foreign and local enterprises; an area, in which positive effects concerning the recipient country are expected. The paper consists of 3 different sections.
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The 1993-1995 period saw the first steps of privatization, the establishment and development of its institutional foundations and in 1995, the phasing-in of actual privatization. Over 24,000 entities had been privatized by December 31, 1995. Most units (about 22,000 shops, restaurants, hotels, warehouses, small production enterprises, etc.) passed into private hands through restitution. The specific nature of the recent development of Bulgaria's private sector is determined largely by this restoration of ownership rights to small urban properties. Restitution helped create favorable conditions for the establishment of a real estate market and for the promotion of entrepreneurship, mainly in trade and services. However, there are still many unsettled restitution claims, as well as some unresolved problems concerning how some former owners may be indemnified by giving them the opportunity to participate in other forms of privatization.
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Monetary union is the final stage in economic and financial integration among countries, in the specific case analyzed in the present paper among the countries participating in the Treaty of Maastricht providing for the implementation of such a union as the ultimate objective of the convergence toward a unified Europe. Membership in such a union would require the adoption of a common currency and its circulation as a single legal tender (or the final and irrevocable pegging of exchange rates among the currencies of the participating countries), as well as the conduct of common monetary (including foreign-exchange) policy.
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The legal framework of privatisation was established in 1992. Its basis is the Law on Transformation and Privatisation of State- Owned and Municipal Enterprises (LTPSME). As it is the tradition of the legal system in Bulgaria, the Law has a framework character, which means that its implementation requires adoption of some regulations and laws to detail some of the provisions of the Law. One of the issues which had to be legislated with follow-up legal documents is the regulation of privatisation revenues use.
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Two years after the adoption of the Privatization Law(1992), even if slowly, privatization in Bulgaria has made considerable progress. It is the only transition country wich implements only market (capital) privatisation. Bulgaria is a middle-income country, which poses a serious barrier to capital privatization. Of course, experience (Chile, for instance) has shown that a successful capital privatization is possible in such countries as well.
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The economic changes of the past years in Eastern Europe and particularly in Bulgaria have created a new environment for the international business. Despite the serious economic, financial and structural challenges, Bulgaria's potential for privatization, industrial modernization and rapid economic growth are unprecedented.
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The economic reforms that were launched in Bulgaria following the democratic changes in late 1989 are meant to carry out the transition from a centrally planned, to market oriented economy. The banking reform is one of the chief preconditions for the organization of a financial system that conforms with market economy principles, which can facilitate the overcoming of the crisis and restoration of macroeconomic stability. The process of institutionalization of the banking system in the country was supposed, within a relatively short period of time, to settle several critical groups of questions. Most notably these were: to lay the foundations of the money and foreign exchange market; to secure stability and trust in the financial institutions; to encourage competition between them. The highlight of the reform of the financial and credit system was the transformation of the Bulgarian National Bank from an instrument of centralized planned management and a banking monopoly, into a central banking institution in a position, through its independent monetary policy, to guarantee the stability of the national currency and the viability of the banking system in Bulgaria.
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At the beginning of 1991 the Bulgarian economy had almost reached the point of collapse. This was due to the economic policy of 1990, combined with the negative effects of the Persian Gulf crisis. On this background a project for one-year "stand-by" credit for Bulgaria from the IMF was prepared. The agreement was signed in February 1991 and confirmed by IMF on March 15. Under these circumstances the use of the IMF resources was the only possibility for partial recovery of the country's hard currency reserves, and this possibility could certainly be used only under the specific conditions required by IMF.
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Price liberalization occupies a central place in every stabilization program. Its purpose is to reach a rational relative price structure and thus to eliminate the imbalance between the solvent demand and supply of goods and services, set up in the terms of administrative valuation of prices. By removing price level control arises a possibility of unfolding hidden inflationary processes in the economy. The choice of a liberalization scheme is an important problem in this aspect. It is to direct the completion of price liberalization process so that an optimum effect is reached.
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A number of measures for the stabilization of the economy and the building up of the appropriate institutional and legislative framework of market economy and parliamentary democracy have been introduced with the aid of international financial institutions and various programs for technical assistance. The liberalization of prices, the cuts in state subsidies for the economy, and the creation of a credit and currency market were the first preconditions for a transition to market economy.
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In the period March 30 - April 20, 2004, Vitosha Research conducted a survey of the "hidden economy" in the business sector, covering 478 companies from accross the country. The survey employed the method of the face-to-face interview.
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Between February 24 and March 24, 2003 the sociological agency Vitosha Research conducted a survey on corruption among the representatives of business organizations in Bulgaria. Representatives of 447 companies and organizations in the country were interviewed employing the method of personal standardized interview.
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A marketing research study was conducted in the end of April 2003 to explore and evaluate the market for the different brands of washing powder in Bulgaria. The survey was representative of the country's adult population. The size of the multi-stage cluster sample was N=1077 respondents from across the country. Information was collected by the method of the face-to-face interview at respondents' homes.
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In the period April 18- May 15, 2003 Vitosha Research conducted a marketing research study on the market of telephone services in the country. 1,077 respondents were interviewed face-to-face. The survey is representative of the country’s adult population. Based on the data obtained, as well as on the findings of previous surveys, a comparative report has been prepared that explores the dynamics of the market over a one-year period.
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- Povezivanje geografije i ekonomije, koje se postiže regionalnim integracijama, donosi brojne prednosti povećanjem međuzavisnosti između užih regiona i smanjivanjem njihovih tendencija ka autarihičnosti. - Teoretski model nodalno-funkcionalne regionalizacije je značajno poremećen u slučaju dezintegracije bivše Jugoslavije, kao dijela regiona Jugoistočne Evrope, a posebno unutar Bosne i Hercegovine kao subregiona. - Drastiščan pad GDP-a najbolji je dokaz za ovakav zaključak, pošto to nije uzrokovano samo ratom, nego i vještačkim podjelama nekada konzistentnih regiona. - Bazični ekonomski indikatori za Bosnu i Hercegovinu, kao što su GDP per capita, stopa nezaposlenosti, struktura privrede, odnos uvoza i izvoza i drugi, znatno su lošiji od većine zemalja u tranziciji, uprkos značajnoj pomoći međunarodne zajednice, što je direktna posljedica političke podjele na dva entiteta i dezintegrisane četiri bivše makroregije. - Procesi ekonomskih integracija na nivou Bosne i Hercegovine, bivše Jugoslavije i regiona Jugoistočne Evrope mogu se odvijati paralelno, mada su pomaci od užih ka širim regionima prirodni put. - Na nivou Bosne i Hercegovine najveća prepreka usklađivanju geografije i ekonomije je postojanje dva entiteta sa velikom samostalnošću i autarhičnim tendencijama, što dovodi do slabih centralnih institucija i nepostojanja jedinstvene strategije ekonomskog razvoja. - Brža ekonomska integracija regiona bivše Jugoslavije u interesu je svih novih samostalnih država koje su iza nje nastale, zbog komplementarnosti resursa, tradicije i nepostojanja jezičnih barijera.
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